Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Florida State Seminoles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:82
07/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51.7%
Florida State Seminoles
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Florida State Seminoles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notre Dame Fighting Irish, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florida State Seminoles than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florida State Seminoles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Florida State Seminoles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.7)

    1.95
    (2.1)
    6.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 0.
    • Notre Dame is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Florida State has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Florida State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1168:1177. (average 73:73.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notre Dame won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 534:501. (average 76.3:71.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Florida State Seminoles were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Florida State Seminoles - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 67:60
    13.01.2024 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Florida State Seminoles 58:67
    17.01.2023 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Florida State Seminoles 71:84
    21.12.2022 Florida State Seminoles - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 73:72
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
    14ByeUCF Knights
    15UConnBye
    16ByeFurman
    17FloridaBye
    18SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58LehighPrairie View A&M
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena
    2Ohio StateTCU
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St
    7UCLAUCF Knights
    8UConnFurman
    9FloridaTBD #18
    10ClemsonIowa
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State
    12NebraskaTroy
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams
    14IllinoisPenn
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M
    16HoustonIdaho
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks
    18VillanovaUtah State
    19WisconsinHigh Point
    20ArkansasHawaii
    21Brigham YoungTexas
    22GonzagaKennesaw State
    23Miami (FL)Missouri
    24PurdueQueens Royals
    25MichiganHoward
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens
    27Texas TechAkron
    28AlabamaHofstra
    29TennesseeTBD #58
    30VirginiaWright State
    31KentuckySanta Clara
    32Iowa StateTennessee State

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2