Flota Świnoujście vs GKS Jastrzębie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
24/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tomal J. , Zielinski B. ,
  • 46', Gebala P. , Kakolewski I. ,
  • 51', Jakuc O. 🟨,
  • 66', Gil D. , Zmudz K. ,
  • 66', Trzaskowski A. , Kort K. ,
  • 78', Bykowski M. , Mozler L. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Kasperowicz K. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Baranowicz B. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 94', 1 - 2, Kakolewski I. ,
  • 100', Gromek W. , Bednorz K. ,
  • 104', 2 - 2, Turski H. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Flota Świnoujście
42.4%
Draw
30%
GKS Jastrzębie
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 28% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 25.7% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flota Świnoujście's performance.
  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.59)
    3.09
    (3.19)
    3.37
    (2.38)
    7.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Flota will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). GKS Jastrzębie will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flota (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Flota is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • GKS Jastrzębie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Flota will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1ZawiszaBye
    2ByeTychy
    3WikielecBye
    4PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    5Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    6Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    7Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    8ByeWisla
    9AndrychowBye
    10ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    11Legnica IIBye
    12Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    13OzimekBye
    14ByePruszkow
    15S. RzeszowBye
    16ByeKorona Kielce
    17LKS LomzaBye
    18ByeOdra Opole
    19Korona Kielce IIBye
    20ByePiast Gliwice
    21Gryf SlupskBye
    22ByePolonia Warszawa
    24ByeLech Poznan
    25Stal MielecBye
    26ByePuszcza
    27Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    28ByeLechia Gdansk
    29Arka GdyniaBye
    30ByeMotor Lublin
    31Legia IIBye
    32ByeGornik Zabrze
    33Avia SwidnikBye
    34ByeRuch Chorzow
    35SwinoujscieBye
    36KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41SrodaBye
    42Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    43T. MazowieckiBye
    44ByeSlask Wroclaw
    45RakowBye
    47LecznaBye
    48ByeCracovia
    49LKS LodzBye
    50ByeChrobry Glogow
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LegnicaBye
    54ByePogon Siedlce
    56ByeJagiellonia
    57LegiaBye
    59Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    60ByePogon Szczecin
    61Termalica B-B.Bye
    62ByeWidzew Lodz
    63Radomiak RadomBye
    64ByeZaglebie

    1/32-finals
    1ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    2WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    3Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    4Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    5AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    6Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    7OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    8S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    9LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    10Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    11Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    12ByeLech Poznan
    13Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    14Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    15Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    16Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    17Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    18SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    22T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    23RakowBye
    24LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    25LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    28ByeJagiellonia
    29LegiaBye
    30Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    31Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    32Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZawiszaWikielec3 : 0
    2Hutnik KrakowWisla0 : 1
    3ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin3 : 1
    4PruszkowKorona Kielce0 : 3
    5Odra OpolePiast Gliwice0 : 2
    6Gryf SlupskLech Poznan1 : 2
    7PuszczaLechia Gdansk1 : 3
    8Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze1 : 2
    9Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie3 : 0
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom0 : 7
    11Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw0 : 1
    12RakowCracovia3 : 0
    13LKS LodzGKS Katowice1 : 2
    14LegnicaJagiellonia2 : 3
    15LegiaPogon Szczecin1 : 2
    16Widzew LodzZaglebie1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ZawiszaWisla4 : 1
    2ChojniczankaKorona Kielce2 : 1
    3Piast GliwiceLech Poznan0 : 2
    4Lechia GdanskGornik Zabrze1 : 3
    5Avia SwidnikPolonia Bytom4 : 2
    6Slask WroclawRakow1 : 2
    7GKS KatowiceJagiellonia3 : 1
    8Pogon SzczecinWidzew Lodz0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ZawiszaChojniczanka2 : 1
    2Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze0 : 1
    3Avia SwidnikRakow1 : 2
    4GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ZawiszaGornik Zabrze
    2RakowGKS Katowice

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2