América Mineiro vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', Pimenta 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Ana Flavia ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Mayara ,
  • 45+2', Lele 🟨,
  • 45+4', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vitoria , Lais ,
  • 62', Lele , Chu Santos ,
  • 62', Claudinha , Paloma ,
  • 62', Pimenta , Arias E. ,
  • 66', Taluane 🟨,
  • 68', Karina 🟨,
  • 73', Veronica , Keke ,
  • 74', Lurdinha , Keke ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Raquel (Pen),
  • 81', Kamilla 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Sassa ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
39.2%
Draw
30.1%
Fluminense
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 26.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • América Mineiro - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.6)
    3.05
    (3.4)
    2.99
    (2.38)
    9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Fluminense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • América MG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Fluminense were as follows:
    17.06.2024 Fluminense - América Mineiro 1:0
    16.04.2023 Fluminense - América Mineiro 2:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.05.2025 Fluminense - Ferroviária 1:1
    27.04.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 2:1
    23.04.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    20.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fluminense 0:2
    15.04.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 1:1
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras W22006:156
    2Flamengo W22005:236
    3Sao Paulo W22004:226
    4Cruzeiro W21103:124
    5Santos W21103:214
    6Corinthians W21103:214
    7Fluminense W21103:214
    8Internacional W21013:213
    9Bragantino W21014:403
    10Botafogo RJ W21013:303
    11Ferroviaria W21012:3-13
    12Mixto W20112:3-11
    13Vitoria W20112:3-11
    14Juventude W20111:2-11
    15Atletico-MG W20110:1-11
    16Gremio W20022:4-20
    17Bahia W20021:4-30
    18America Mineiro W20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women