América Mineiro vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', Pimenta 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Ana Flavia ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Mayara ,
  • 45+2', Lele 🟨,
  • 45+4', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vitoria , Lais ,
  • 62', Lele , Chu Santos ,
  • 62', Claudinha , Paloma ,
  • 62', Pimenta , Arias E. ,
  • 66', Taluane 🟨,
  • 68', Karina 🟨,
  • 73', Veronica , Keke ,
  • 74', Lurdinha , Keke ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Raquel (Pen),
  • 81', Kamilla 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Sassa ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
39.2%
Draw
30.1%
Fluminense
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 26.8% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • América Mineiro - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.6)
    3.05
    (3.4)
    2.99
    (2.38)
    9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Fluminense?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • América MG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Fluminense were as follows:
    17.06.2024 Fluminense - América Mineiro 1:0
    16.04.2023 Fluminense - América Mineiro 2:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Fluminense
    01.05.2025 Fluminense - Ferroviária 1:1
    27.04.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 2:1
    23.04.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    20.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fluminense 0:2
    15.04.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 1:1
    Brasileiro Women Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians W971123:81522
    2Palmeiras W953118:81018
    3Sao Paulo W852112:5717
    4Internacional W952212:6617
    5Bahia W951315:12316
    6Flamengo W843115:10515
    7Ferroviaria W943213:9415
    8Fluminense W943211:8315
    9Cruzeiro W935114:10414
    10Bragantino W832314:15-111
    11Santos W925210:11-111
    12Gremio W931510:11-110
    13Atletico-MG W92349:909
    14Mixto W91356:16-106
    15Botafogo RJ W71247:12-55
    16Juventude W91263:10-75
    17America Mineiro W90363:19-163
    18Vitoria W80265:21-162

          Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women