Fluminense vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Fluminense - Chelsea
Result
0:2
08/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.60
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
88% (378/430)90% (454/502)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.59
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1727
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (378/430)90% (454/502)
Long passes
53% (16/30)56% (18/32)
Passes in final third
78% (53/68)75% (92/123)
Crosses
33% (5/15)54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.99
Throw-ins
916
Fouls
1111
Tackles
80% (16/20)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
2011
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.590.41
Goals prevented
-0.410.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Thiago Santos ↓, Keno ↑,
  • 54', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
  • 59', Nonato 🟨,
  • 60', Joao Pedro ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
  • 66', Nonato ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
  • 68', Neto P. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
  • 68', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
  • 70', Bernal F. ↓, Lima ↑,
  • 70', Hercules ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
  • 72', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
  • 73', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 86', Nkunku C. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
  • 86', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,

Chances of winning


Fluminense
16.5%		Draw
25.6%		Chelsea
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 25.2% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 24.2% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    Fluminense - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.76 ↑
    (4.94)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.79)    		 1.65 ↓
    (1.73)    		 4.6%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Fluminense - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 9 - 13.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 65.5% – 86.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Chelsea (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Chelsea (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 75%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J. (Yellow Cards) Isaque Silva (Injury) Martinelli (Yellow Cards) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Colwill L. (Yellow Cards) Delap L. (Yellow Cards) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Badiashile B. (Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fluminense
    04.07.2025 Fluminense - Al-Hilal 2:1 ✺
    30.06.2025 Inter Milan - Fluminense 0:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense 0:0 ✺
    21.06.2025 Fluminense - Ulsan HD 4:2 ✺
    17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Chelsea
    04.07.2025 Palmeiras - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    24.06.2025 Espérance ST - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺
    16.06.2025 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Betis - Chelsea 1:4 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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