Result
1:0
05/12/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 World | El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 24 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 38 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (441/500) | 81% (299/369) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (119/154) | 65% (40/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 17% (1/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 58% (14/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Walter 🟨,
- 29', Arias J. (Pen),
- 39', Eliel 🟨,
- 41', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinelli ↓, Keno ↑,
- 46', Eliel ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
- 46', Fernando Sobral ↓, Railan ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽,
- 61', Serna K. 🟨,
- 66', Keno 🟨,
- 71', Serna K. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 71', Cano G. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
- 77', Pitta I. ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 78', Ramon 🟨,
- 84', Denilson Alves ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 89', Fuentes G. ↓, Guga ↑,
- 90+1', Clayson ↓, Souza D. ↑,
- 90+4', Alan Empereur 🟨,
- 90+5', Arias J. ↓, Isaac ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
67.8% | Draw
21.6% | Cuiabá
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Fluminense - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
4.36 ↑
(4.28) |
8.97 ↑
(7.67) |
5.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Cuiabá is Relegated to Serie B
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 4.
- Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cuiabá is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fluminense is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio
(Injury)
Lele
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Derik Lacerda
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cuiabá?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Fluminense?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cuiabá were as follows:
21.07.2024
Cuiabá
-
Fluminense
0:1
30.09.2023
Cuiabá
-
Fluminense
3:0
13.05.2023
Fluminense
-
Cuiabá
2:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
