Result
1:0
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (363/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (363/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (41/78) | 70% (66/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Arismendi F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Lavega J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lavega J. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 46', Ribera J. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
- 46', Roca F. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
- 66', Vasquez F. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
- 66', Bejarano J. ↓, Villamil S. ↑,
- 69', Lezcano R. ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Calero D. ⚽,
- 79', Hercules ↓, Kelwin ↑,
- 87', Lopez J. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
GVCD San José
39.6% | Draw
26.1% | Fluminense
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVCD San José's performance.Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVCD San José that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GVCD San José - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(3.29) |
3.63 ↓
(3.7) |
2.78 ↑
(2.04) |
6%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GVCD San José - Fluminense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 1 - 50%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - GVCD San José (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- GVCD San José has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, GVCD San José won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Fluminense?
GVCD San José has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against GVCD San José?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GVCD San José - Fluminense were as follows:
10.04.2025
Fluminense
-
GVCD San José
5:0
Latest results of GVCD San José
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | TBD #1 | U. Catolica | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | Independiente | |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | Cienciano | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | Godoy Cruz | |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
