Result
1:0
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (363/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (212/276) | 84% (363/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (41/78) | 70% (66/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Arismendi F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Lavega J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lavega J. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 46', Ribera J. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
- 46', Roca F. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
- 66', Vasquez F. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
- 66', Bejarano J. ↓, Villamil S. ↑,
- 69', Lezcano R. ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Calero D. ⚽,
- 79', Hercules ↓, Kelwin ↑,
- 87', Lopez J. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
GVCD San José
39.6% | Draw
26.1% | Fluminense
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVCD San José's performance.Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVCD San José that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
GVCD San José - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(3.29) |
3.63 ↓
(3.7) |
2.78 ↑
(2.04) |
6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GVCD San José - Fluminense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - GVCD San José (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - GVCD San José (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fluminense (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Fluminense (votes: 5 - 45.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- GVCD San José has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, GVCD San José won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Fluminense?
GVCD San José has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against GVCD San José?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GVCD San José - Fluminense were as follows:
10.04.2025
Fluminense
-
GVCD San José
5:0
Latest results of GVCD San José
Latest results of Fluminense
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Macara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Juventud | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Caracas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
