Fluminense vs Nova Iguaçu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu
Result
2:0
16/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 10
  • Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1713
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
128
Blocked Shots
13
Corner Kicks
126
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Offsides
10
Fouls
98
Yellow Cards
12
Passes
86% (416/481)88% (391/444)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Cano G. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Antonio , Kennyd ,
  • 46', Fernandinho , Igor Guilherme ,
  • 48', Caio Hones , Igor Lemos ,
  • 54', Riquelme Felipe , Lima ,
  • 54', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 63', Igor Guilherme 🟨,
  • 64', Guga 🟨,
  • 69', Jorge Pedra , Joao Lucas ,
  • 75', Canobbio A. , Serna K. ,
  • 75', Cano G. , Keno ,
  • 83', Gabriel Pinheiro , Matheus Matias ,
  • 84', Martinelli , Nonato ,
  • 89', Igor Lemos 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
73.6%
Draw
18.8%
Nova Iguaçu
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 25.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 24.7% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.
  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.55)
    5
    (3.7)
    12.5
    (6.27)
    6.1%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 5.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fluminense is absolute favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu 3:0
    17.01.2023 Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu 1:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    08.02.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:0
    05.02.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 1:2
    02.02.2025 Fluminense - Boavista 1:1
    29.01.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:1
    26.01.2025 Madureira - Fluminense 0:0
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    06.02.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    30.01.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Bangu 1:1
    27.01.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Boavista 0:0
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Flamengo RJVasco2 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Volta RedondaFluminense0 : 0, 0 : 4

    Final
    1Flamengo RJFluminense0 : 0, 2 : 1