Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 1.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (372/450) | 86% (336/391) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 1.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.99 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
83% (372/450) | 86% (336/391) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (24/52) | 46% (27/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (79/114) | 62% (46/74) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (5/18) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.96 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (12/22) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 0.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', 1 - 0, Cano G. (Pen),
- 36', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Fuentes G. 🟨,
- 61', Ignacio ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 61', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 66', Nonato ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 72', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
- 73', Torres F. 🟨,
- 74', Torres F. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 74', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 74', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 75', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 75', Soteldo Y. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 80', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 90+8', Allan 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 33.1% | Draw 32.3% | Palmeiras 34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Fluminense - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.6) |
2.96 ↓ (3.14) |
2.73 ↓ (2.8) |
5.3% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
PH Ganso
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Rios R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Palmeiras?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Fluminense?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Palmeiras were as follows:
08.12.2024
Palmeiras
-
Fluminense
0:1
24.07.2024
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
1:0
03.12.2023
Palmeiras
-
Fluminense
1:0
05.08.2023
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
2:1
27.08.2022
Fluminense
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet