KK Split vs FMP Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:85
12/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7060
Field goals made
2930
Field goals %
41.43%50%
2-point field goals attempts
4840
2-point field goals made
2524
2-point field goals %
52.08%60%
3-point field goals attempts
2220
3-point field goals made
46
3-point field goals %
18.18%30%
Free throws attempts
1829
Free throws made
1419
Free throws %
77.8%65.5%
Offensive rebounds
116
Defensive rebounds
1827
Total rebounds
2933
Assists
2613
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1211
Steals
48
Personal fouls
2223

Highlights

Chances of winning


KK Split
57.1%
FMP Beograd
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KK Split's performance.
  • FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FMP Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KK Split that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FMP Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KK Split - FMP Beograd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.76)

    2.17
    (1.9)
    7.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for KK Split - FMP Beograd?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Split (1.75) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Split (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Split (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Split (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Split (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Split (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Split (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, OT - Split (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: KK Split will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KK Split will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Split (votes: 11 - 91.7%). FMP (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Split won 1.
    • Split has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • FMP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Split may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, FMP has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Split won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 891:964. (average 81:87.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Split won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 412:407. (average 82.4:81.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KK Split - FMP Beograd were as follows:
    07.12.2025 FMP Beograd - KK Split 96:80
    14.04.2025 KK Split - FMP Beograd 72:85
    13.12.2024 FMP Beograd - KK Split 98:91
    29.01.2024 KK Split - FMP Beograd 78:66
    27.10.2023 FMP Beograd - KK Split 84:66
    Latest results of KK Split
    09.01.2026 Alkar - KK Split 87:97
    06.01.2026 KK Split - Cedevita Junior 90:82
    04.01.2026 KK Split - Dubai 78:92
    28.12.2025 Partizan Belgrade - KK Split 110:74
    22.12.2025 U BT Cluj-Napoca - KK Split 105:87
    Latest results of FMP Beograd
    20.12.2025 FMP Beograd - Igokea 69:85
    07.12.2025 FMP Beograd - KK Split 96:80
    22.11.2025 FMP Beograd - U BT Cluj-Napoca 98:104
    Adriatic League Table
    Losers stage
    PlWLPts
    9Spartak Subotica17891406:141725
    10FMP Beograd177101427:147224
    11Zadar176111384:142023
    12Borac Mozzart176111337:142223
    13Mega Basket176111457:158723
    14KK Krka Novo mesto175121347:141322
    15Vienna Basket175121438:153722
    16Studentski Centar174131341:141221
    17Perspektiva Ilirija165111298:139521
    18Split164121328:147920

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