Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        14/05/2023 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - PLAY OUT - FINAL
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Folgore Caratese  39.5% | Draw  30% | Varese  30.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Folgore Caratese - Varese Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.28 ↑ (2.07) | 
			   3 ↓ (3.05) | 
			   2.96 ↓ (3.04) | 
			   11% (14%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Città di Varese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
 - Folgore Caratese will have a mini benefit in this match.
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Folgore Caratese won against Varese?
                    
                    
                        
                            Folgore Caratese has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Folgore Caratese?
                    
                    
                        
                             Varese has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore Caratese - Varese were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.04.2023 
                                Varese 
                                - 
                                Folgore Caratese 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.12.2022 
                                Folgore Caratese 
                                - 
                                Varese 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Folgore Caratese                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Chievo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 23 | 
| 2 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 20 | 
| 3 | Brusaporto | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 | 
| 4 | USD Casatese | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 | 
| 5 | Villa Valle | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 | 
| 6 | AC Milan U23 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 | 
| 7 | Castellanzese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 15 | 
| 8 | Breno | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 | 
| 9 | Caldiero Terme | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 | 
| 10 | Real Calepina | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Leon | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 12 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 13 | Oltrepo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Vogherese | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | 
| 15 | Scanzorosciate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 | 
| 16 | Varesina | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 8 | 
| 17 | Pavia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 | 
| 18 | Sondrio | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:26 | -22 | 1 | 
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