Result
0:1
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Italy | SI Solo Calcio |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Gasperi M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Folgore Caratese
41.6% | Draw
28.3% | Desenzano Calvina
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore Caratese's form might have worsened.Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desenzano Calvina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.86) |
3.21 ↓
(3.23) |
3.01 ↓
(3.94) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1.
- Folgore Caratese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Desenzano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Desenzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore Caratese won against Desenzano Calvina?
Folgore Caratese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Folgore Caratese?
Desenzano Calvina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
07.04.2024
Folgore Caratese
-
Desenzano Calvina
0:2
26.11.2023
Desenzano Calvina
-
Folgore Caratese
0:0
05.03.2023
Desenzano Calvina
-
Folgore Caratese
1:1
30.10.2022
Folgore Caratese
-
Desenzano Calvina
3:0
Latest results of Folgore Caratese
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
