Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina
Result
0:1
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySI Solo Calcio

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gasperi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Folgore Caratese
41.6%
Draw
28.3%
Desenzano Calvina
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 28.1% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 27.6% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore Caratese's form might have worsened.
  • Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desenzano Calvina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.86)
    3.21
    (3.23)
    3.01
    (3.94)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1.
    • Folgore Caratese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Desenzano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Desenzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina 0:2
    26.11.2023 Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese 0:0
    05.03.2023 Desenzano Calvina - Folgore Caratese 1:1
    30.10.2022 Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina 3:0
    Latest results of Folgore Caratese
    Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1