Result
1:2
21/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 San-marino | San Marino RTV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Scappini S. ⚽, Sabato R. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, De Lucia U. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 2, Zenoni M. ⚽, Sabato R. (A),
Chances of winning
Folgore
18.8% | Draw
27.9% | Virtus
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore's form might have worsened.Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Folgore - Virtus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(3.51) |
3.24 ↑
(3.06) |
1.7 ↓
(2) |
10.6%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.
- Recent performances by Folgore have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Virtus is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Virtus?
Folgore has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus won against Folgore?
Virtus has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Virtus were as follows:
12.09.2025
Virtus
-
Folgore
2:1
01.03.2025
Folgore
-
Virtus
0:2
01.11.2024
Virtus
-
Folgore
1:0
10.03.2024
Virtus
-
Folgore
2:0
26.11.2023
Folgore
-
Virtus
0:2
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
