Result
1:2
21/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 San-marino | San Marino RTV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Scappini S. ⚽, Sabato R. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, De Lucia U. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 2, Zenoni M. ⚽, Sabato R. (A),
Chances of winning
Folgore
18.8% | Draw
27.9% | Virtus
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore's form might have worsened.Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Folgore - Virtus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(3.51) |
3.24 ↑
(3.06) |
1.7 ↓
(2) |
10.6%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.
- Recent performances by Folgore have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Virtus is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Virtus?
Folgore has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus won against Folgore?
Virtus has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Virtus were as follows:
12.09.2025
Virtus
-
Folgore
2:1
01.03.2025
Folgore
-
Virtus
0:2
01.11.2024
Virtus
-
Folgore
1:0
10.03.2024
Virtus
-
Folgore
2:0
26.11.2023
Folgore
-
Virtus
0:2
Latest results of Folgore
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place
