Foligno vs San Donato Tavarnelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Calonaci L. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Pupo Posada Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Foligno
46.4%
Draw
28.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.2% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.7% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.
  • San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Donato Tavarnelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Donato Tavarnelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.4)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    3.61
    (2.64)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 7)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Foligno
    30.11.2025 Prato - Foligno 3:1
    23.11.2025 Foligno - Ghiviborgo 1:1
    09.11.2025 Foligno - Siena 3:1
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation