Foligno vs San Donato Tavarnelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Calonaci L. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Pupo Posada Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Foligno
46.4%
Draw
28.4%
San Donato Tavarnelle
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.2% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.7% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.
  • San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Donato Tavarnelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Donato Tavarnelle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Foligno - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.4)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    3.61
    (2.64)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 7)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Foligno
    30.11.2025 Prato - Foligno 3:1
    23.11.2025 Foligno - Ghiviborgo 1:1
    09.11.2025 Foligno - Siena 3:1
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto ✔ 31216455:223369
    2Tau31168748:301856
    3Siena31167848:291955
    4Seravezza Pozzi311510641:271455
    5Prato31175945:291654
    6Scandicci311114637:271047
    7Foligno311381044:36847
    8Terranuova Traiana311381024:26-247
    9Montevarchi31915727:31-442
    10Trestina3110101135:35040
    11Ghiviborgo319101241:40137
    12Camaiore31971538:47-934
    13Follonica Gavorrano318101332:45-1334
    14San Donato317121226:34-833
    15Orvietana317101429:35-631
    16Poggibonsi31691626:43-1727
    17Cannara31571920:55-3522
    18Vivi Altotevere312141517:42-2520

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for