Città di Castello vs Follonica Gavorrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano
Result
1:2
02/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Chances of winning


Città di Castello
30.9%
Draw
27.5%
Follonica Gavorrano
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 29.3% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 28.3% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Città di Castello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (3.12)
    3.29
    (3.05)
    2.17
    (2.13)
    10.8%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
    • Città di Castello has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Follonica Gavorrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Follonica Gavorrano will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Follonica Gavorrano to win the game is with odds 1.89.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Città di Castello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
    20.11.2022 Follonica Gavorrano - Città di Castello 2:2
    Latest results of Città di Castello
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Siena64118:2613
    2Tau64119:4513
    3Grosseto641110:6413
    4Seravezza Pozzi64027:6112
    5San Donato63218:7111
    6Foligno631210:8210
    7Prato63039:729
    8Ghiviborgo62228:718
    9Scandicci62225:508
    10Camaiore62228:11-38
    11Terranuova Traiana62134:5-17
    12Vivi Altotevere61414:5-17
    13Follonica Gavorrano62135:7-27
    14Montevarchi61328:11-36
    15Orvietana62046:9-36
    16Cannara61234:6-25
    17Trestina61145:6-14
    18Poggibonsi60245:11-62

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation