Siena vs Follonica Gavorrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Mastalli A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Siena
50%
Draw
27.2%
Follonica Gavorrano
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 26.8% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Siena - Follonica Gavorrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.85)
    3.34
    (3.35)
    4.01
    (4)
    9.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siena won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Siena is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Siena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Siena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Siena - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Follonica Gavorrano - Siena 0:1
    12.04.2025 Siena - Follonica Gavorrano 2:1
    01.12.2024 Follonica Gavorrano - Siena 0:1
    Latest results of Siena
    01.02.2026 Terranuova Traiana - Siena 0:1
    25.01.2026 Siena - Scandicci 0:1
    18.01.2026 Poggibonsi - Siena 1:0
    11.01.2026 Siena - Orvietana 5:1
    04.01.2026 Tau Altopascio - Siena 0:0
    Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto34226658:253372
    2Tau34189753:332063
    3Prato34205949:292063
    4Siena34179857:352260
    5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:291357
    6Terranuova Traiana341491128:30-251
    7Foligno341491145:37851
    8Scandicci341115839:32748
    9Montevarchi341016828:32-446
    10Trestina3410121240:42-242
    11San Donato349131230:35-540
    12Ghiviborgo3410101442:44-240
    13Orvietana349111433:37-438
    14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:49-1337
    15Camaiore34981741:54-1335
    16Poggibonsi347101729:46-1731
    17Cannara34682024:59-3526
    18Vivi Altotevere342161620:46-2622

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation