Belenenses vs Fontinhas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Fontinhas
11/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Belenenses
58.3%
Draw
24.1%
Fontinhas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 29.4% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 24.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.
  • Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Belenenses - Fontinhas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.85)
    3.8
    (3.1)
    5.18
    (4.26)
    9.3%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Fontinhas were as follows:
    28.10.2022 Fontinhas - Belenenses 1:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    21.01.2023 Amora - Belenenses 2:1
    06.01.2023 Belenenses - Real SC 1:2
    Latest results of Fontinhas
    04.02.2023 Fontinhas - Real SC 0:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    16.01.2023 Setúbal - Fontinhas 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

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