Leiria vs Fontinhas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Leiria - Fontinhas
Result
1:2
24/02/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Leiria
69.4%
Draw
20%
Fontinhas
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.2% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 20.4% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Leiria - Fontinhas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.42)
    4.58
    (4.41)
    8.66
    (7.22)
    9.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
    • Leiria is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
    • Fontinhas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
    • Leiria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Fontinhas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Leiria is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Leiria to win the game is with odds 1.32.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Fontinhas were as follows:
    12.11.2022 Fontinhas - Leiria 1:1
    Latest results of Leiria
    18.02.2023 Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria 0:1
    11.02.2023 Leiria - Oliveira Hospital 2:1
    05.02.2023 Leiria - Amora 2:0
    29.01.2023 Belenenses - Leiria 1:2
    Latest results of Fontinhas
    18.02.2023 Fontinhas - Amora 0:1
    11.02.2023 Belenenses - Fontinhas 6:0
    04.02.2023 Fontinhas - Real SC 0:1
    21.01.2023 Fontinhas - Alverca 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense31202:025
    5Amarante31113:304
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B31114:314
    7AD Marco 0930300:003
    8Paredes30211:2-12
    9AD Fafe30211:3-22
    10Sao Joao Ver30120:6-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas32013:306
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Mafra31113:5-24
    7Lusitano GC31024:313
    8Atletico CP31022:203
    9Academica31022:3-13
    10Covilha30122:4-21

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )