Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 87% (441/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 87% (441/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (117/154) | 73% (97/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Bahamboula J. 🟨,
- 30', Nimick D. (Pen),
- 30', Yesli Y. 🟨,
- 40', Massunda H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Callegari L. 🟨,
- 57', Rea S. 🟨,
- 62', Rama R. 🟨,
- 70', Borges T. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
- 70', Massunda H. ↓, Wright B. ↑,
- 70', Bekker K. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 75', Vitor Dias ↓, Gagnon-Lapare J. ↑,
- 77', Rea S. ↓, Bai Y. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Babouli M. ⚽, Ampomah N. (A),
- 83', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 84', Babouli M. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 84', Rama R. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 89', Pearlman A. ↓, Walkes R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forge
55.2% | Draw
24.3% | HFX Wanderers
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Forge - HFX Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.75) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
4.46 ↑
(4.09) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.
- Forge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Forge is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against HFX Wanderers?
Forge has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Forge?
HFX Wanderers has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
25.07.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Forge
1:2
08.06.2025
Forge
-
HFX Wanderers
2:1
07.05.2025
Forge
-
HFX Wanderers
3:1
03.05.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Forge
0:0
14.09.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Forge
3:0
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | York Utd | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Valour | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
