HFX Wanderers vs Forge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - Forge
Result
1:2
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.61
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (334/401)84% (360/428)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.27
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1715
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
108
Passes
83% (334/401)84% (360/428)
Long passes
49% (33/67)63% (46/73)
Passes in final third
72% (92/128)76% (121/159)
Crosses
29% (6/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.62
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
810
Tackles
80% (16/20)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5342
Clearances
1622
Interceptions
176
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.270.70
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Paton B. , Bekker K. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Telfer R. , Callegari L. (A),
  • 24', Babouli M. 🟨,
  • 39', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
  • 45', Rampersad A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Wright B. 🟨,
  • 58', Bai Y. , Rea S. ,
  • 71', Rampersad A. , Probo G. ,
  • 71', Wright B. , Borges T. ,
  • 71', Ampomah N. , Choiniere D. ,
  • 82', Massunda H. , Jensen N. ,
  • 82', Babouli M. , Filion M. ,
  • 85', Telfer R. , Vitor Dias ,
  • 85', Coimbra T. , Bahamboula J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Filion M. , Jensen N. (A),
  • 90', Timoteo W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
32.1%
Draw
28.1%
Forge
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 28.5% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 28.1% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • The chances for Forge have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • HFX Wanderers - Forge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.85)
    3.28
    (3.18)
    2.31
    (2.27)
    8.6%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Forge?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. HFX Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Forge will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 1.
    • HFX Wanderers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Forge is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Forge could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Forge were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    07.05.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    03.05.2025 HFX Wanderers - Forge 0:0
    14.09.2024 HFX Wanderers - Forge 3:0
    14.08.2024 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Latest results of Forge
    18.07.2025 Forge - Pacific FC 2:0
    12.07.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Forge 1:1
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 Forge - Vancouver FC 2:1
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa16105135:161935
    2Forge1697028:121634
    3Cavalry1574422:13925
    4York Utd1673627:20724
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    7Valour15321016:35-1911
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)