Result
0:1
22/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/379) | 86% (416/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/379) | 86% (416/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 64% (39/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/106) | 71% (94/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Bah E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Babouli M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Wright B. 🟨,
- 69', Campbell T. ↓, Fotsing E. ↑,
- 69', Mbongue H. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
- 69', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 69', Wright B. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 69', Bekker K. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
- 78', Babouli M. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 78', Massunda H. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
- 84', Enyou A. ↓, Gee P. ↑,
- 87', Campagna M. 🟨,
- 90', Michel ↓, Powell T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vancouver FC
18.8% | Draw
23.3% | Forge
57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver FC's form might have worsened.Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forge's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vancouver FC - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(3.7) |
3.97 ↑
(3.9) |
1.6 ↓
(1.82) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vancouver FC - Forge?
Users Predictions:
Forge will win
(27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.56% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Forge will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 0.
- Vancouver FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Forge is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Forge is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver FC won against Forge?
Vancouver FC has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Vancouver FC?
Forge has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - Forge were as follows:
05.07.2025
Forge
-
Vancouver FC
2:1
15.06.2025
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
0:2
21.09.2024
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
1:3
18.08.2024
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
1:2
05.07.2024
Forge
-
Vancouver FC
3:3
Latest results of Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | York Utd | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:28 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 20 |
| 7 | Valour | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 26:50 | -24 | 19 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:51 | -25 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
