Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Rudolf Y. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (311/373) | 81% (365/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (311/373) | 81% (365/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (35/49) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (74/96) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 77% (20/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Campagna M. (Own goal),
- 27', Kane K. ↓, Jevremovic M. ↑,
- 36', Campagna M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Juan Batista ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
- 60', Paton B. 🟨,
- 63', Dada-Luke K. ↓, Gee P. ↑,
- 71', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 71', Jensen N. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 71', Choiniere D. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Filion M. ⚽, Borges T. (A),
- 83', Fotsing E. ↓, Powell T. ↑,
- 83', Norman D. ↓, Essoussi M. ↑,
- 83', Campagna M. ↓, Enyou A. ↑,
- 89', Bontis D. ↓, Kalongo C. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Fry V. ⚽, Bah E. (A),
- 90+7', Enyou A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forge
63.3% | Draw
21.7% | Vancouver FC
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Forge - Vancouver FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
4.22 ↑
(3.95) |
6.06 ↓
(6.25) |
9.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Forge - Vancouver FC?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Forge will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vancouver FC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forge: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Forge (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.
- Forge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vancouver FC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Forge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Forge is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Forge won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Vancouver FC?
Forge has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver FC won against Forge?
Vancouver FC has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Vancouver FC were as follows:
15.06.2025
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
0:2
21.09.2024
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
1:3
18.08.2024
Vancouver FC
-
Forge
1:2
05.07.2024
Forge
-
Vancouver FC
3:3
18.05.2024
Forge
-
Vancouver FC
1:2
Latest results of Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
