Forge vs Vancouver FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Forge - Vancouver FC
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Referee: Rudolf Y. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.20
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
83% (311/373)81% (365/453)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.46
Total shots
915
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2729
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
610
Passes
83% (311/373)81% (365/453)
Long passes
71% (35/49)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
77% (74/96)66% (87/132)
Crosses
25% (2/8)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.55
Throw-ins
269
Fouls
106
Tackles
56% (5/9)77% (20/26)
Duels won
3051
Clearances
199
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
32
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.461.20
Goals prevented
0.460.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Campagna M. (Own goal),
  • 27', Kane K. , Jevremovic M. ,
  • 36', Campagna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juan Batista , Mezquida N. ,
  • 60', Paton B. 🟨,
  • 63', Dada-Luke K. , Gee P. ,
  • 71', Wright B. , Filion M. ,
  • 71', Jensen N. , Borges T. ,
  • 71', Choiniere D. , Kone A. ,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Filion M. , Borges T. (A),
  • 83', Fotsing E. , Powell T. ,
  • 83', Norman D. , Essoussi M. ,
  • 83', Campagna M. , Enyou A. ,
  • 89', Bontis D. , Kalongo C. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Fry V. , Bah E. (A),
  • 90+7', Enyou A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Forge
63.3%
Draw
21.7%
Vancouver FC
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 23.4% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 22.5% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Forge - Vancouver FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)
    4.22
    (3.95)
    6.06
    (6.25)
    9.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Forge - Vancouver FC?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Forge will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vancouver FC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Forge: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Forge (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 3.
    • Forge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vancouver FC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Forge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Forge is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Forge will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Forge won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Vancouver FC were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    21.09.2024 Vancouver FC - Forge 1:3
    18.08.2024 Vancouver FC - Forge 1:2
    05.07.2024 Forge - Vancouver FC 3:3
    18.05.2024 Forge - Vancouver FC 1:2
    Latest results of Forge
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    22.06.2025 Valour - Forge 0:5
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    08.06.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    31.05.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:1
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    04.06.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 3:1
    25.05.2025 York United - Vancouver FC 1:0
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa16105135:161935
    2Forge1697028:121634
    3Cavalry1574422:13925
    4York Utd1673627:20724
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    7Valour15321016:35-1911
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)