Forge vs Vancouver Whitecaps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Championship Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps
Result
2:2
13/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Rudolf Y. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.86
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (373/439)86% (387/448)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.352.91
Total shots
812
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1728
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
85% (373/439)86% (387/448)
Long passes
52% (32/62)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
67% (67/100)77% (96/124)
Crosses
10% (1/10)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.89
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
1210
Tackles
60% (9/15)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3743
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.911.35
Goals prevented
0.91-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Ampomah N. ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Blackmon T. , Utvik B. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, White B. , Nelson J. (A),
  • 31', Choiniere D. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 2, Wright B. , Ampomah N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', White B. , Sabbi E. ,
  • 59', Ngando J. , Badwal J. ,
  • 59', Ocampo E. , Laborda M. ,
  • 69', Ampomah N. , Massunda H. ,
  • 69', Choiniere D. , Babouli M. ,
  • 75', Blackmon T. 🟨,
  • 75', Wright B. , Filion M. ,
  • 75', Borges T. , Jensen N. ,
  • 83', Jensen N. 🟨,
  • 85', Nelson J. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Forge
28%
Draw
25.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 24.6% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 22.1% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forge's performance.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forge that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Forge - Vancouver Whitecaps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (4.49)
    3.59
    (3.68)
    1.95
    (1.64)
    9.9%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Forge is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vancouver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vancouver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Vancouver has had a series of away games.
    • Vancouver might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Forge
    09.08.2025 York United - Forge 1:2
    02.08.2025 Forge - Valour 5:0
    25.07.2025 HFX Wanderers - Forge 1:2
    18.07.2025 Forge - Pacific FC 2:0
    12.07.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Forge 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    2ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1
    3Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    4ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    5CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    6Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    7York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    8Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CF MontrealForge2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Vancouver WhitecapsValour2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3CavalryVancouver FC1 : 2, 1 : 1
    4York UtdAtl. Ottawa3 : 4, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeVancouver Whitecaps2 : 2
    2Vancouver FCAtl. Ottawa3 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2