Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (428/480) | 89% (411/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (428/480) | 89% (411/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 68% (32/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (93/120) | 81% (123/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Bitar G. 🟨,
- 11', Reid A. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Borges T. ⚽, Choiniere D. (A),
- 35', Sturing F. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Lopez L. ⚽, Bitar G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Filion M. ⚽,
- 60', Bitar G. ↓, Ferrin M. ↑,
- 63', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 64', Filion M. ↓, Wright B. ↑,
- 64', Borges T. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
- 64', Ampomah N. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 71', Singh L. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
- 71', Reid A. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
- 79', Rama R. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
- 79', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Bekker K. ↑,
- 85', Lopez L. ↓, Adekugbe E. ↑,
- 86', Botello O. ↓, Ferrazzo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
York United
31.8% | Draw
28.5% | Forge
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
York United - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.91) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
2.31 ↑
(2.21) |
9.2%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for York United - Forge?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. York United will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Forge will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forge: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Forge (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- York United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, York United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Forge?
York United has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against York United?
Forge has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Forge were as follows:
29.06.2025
Forge
-
York United
2:2
27.04.2025
York United
-
Forge
2:2
28.09.2024
Forge
-
York United
2:0
23.08.2024
York United
-
Forge
0:0
01.06.2024
Forge
-
York United
3:0
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 38:13 | 25 | 46 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | York Utd | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 33:23 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:47 | -27 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23:43 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
