Result
3:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Coveri V. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Baggi F. ⚽,
- 43', Manetti G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Manetti G. ↓, Mandrelli N. ↑,
- 53', Coveri V. ↓, De Risio C. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Schirone L. ⚽,
- 62', Biggi S. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
- 62', D'Andrea F. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
- 62', Baggi F. ↓, Borsoi M. ↑,
- 66', Selvini A. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Franzolini A. ⚽,
- 69', Schirone L. 🟨,
- 76', Germinario G. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Trombetta M. ⚽,
- 86', Lombardi L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
- 88', De Risio C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cavallini G. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Nebuloso G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pineto
36.1% | Draw
30.1% | Forlì
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pineto - Forlì Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(1.96) |
3.06 ↓
(3.52) |
2.72 ↓
(3.41) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pineto - Forlì?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Forlì will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Forlì (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).
- Pineto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forlì has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Forlì?
Pineto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forlì won against Pineto?
Forlì has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Forlì were as follows:
25.10.2025
Forlì
-
Pineto
1:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
