Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/368) | 85% (324/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/368) | 85% (324/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 62% (26/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (47/90) | 69% (57/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Suarez K. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Ricaurte A. ⚽, Florez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Manjarres R. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Torres E. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 57', Osorio J. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 58', Amaya A. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 58', Barrera J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Balanta J. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
- 69', Valencia S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 69', Florez K. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
- 76', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 77', Ricaurte A. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 84', Perez L. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Pardo F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Balanta J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
48% | Draw
30.1% | Alianza Valledupar
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
3.1 ↓
(3.35) |
4.32 ↑
(4) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Alianza Valledupar?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
26.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
08.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
28.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
