Result
1:0
16/01/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (448/515) | 83% (293/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (448/515) | 83% (293/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 60% (38/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (99/148) | 64% (48/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 17', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
- 46', Marulanda J. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
- 65', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
- 70', Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 70', Pernia M. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 70', Balanta J. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 74', Pico L. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Rivas Torres R. D. ⚽, Cajares J. (A),
- 85', Perez Balcazar J. E. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 85', Esparragoza C. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
- 85', Lucumi C. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
48.1% | Draw
30.6% | Alianza Valledupar
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.25) |
3.06 ↑
(2.9) |
4.37 ↑
(3.3) |
7.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Alianza Valledupar?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
27.07.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:2
26.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
08.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
28.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
