Fortaleza CEIF vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar
Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.47
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
80% (294/368)85% (324/383)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.97
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
167
Passes
80% (294/368)85% (324/383)
Long passes
48% (29/60)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
52% (47/90)69% (57/83)
Crosses
18% (3/17)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.34
Throw-ins
2527
Fouls
716
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4631
Clearances
3829
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.971.55
Goals prevented
-1.03-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Suarez K. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Ricaurte A. , Florez K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Manjarres R. , Munoz J. ,
  • 46', Torres E. , Pardo F. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Gil M. , Munoz J. (A),
  • 57', Osorio J. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 58', Amaya A. , Mosquera C. ,
  • 58', Barrera J. , Balanta Carabali K. A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Balanta J. , Ricaurte A. (A),
  • 69', Valencia S. , Cuero S. ,
  • 69', Florez K. , Solis J. ,
  • 76', Rosales Y. 🟨,
  • 77', Ricaurte A. , Arroyo A. ,
  • 77', Castillo J. , Munoz J. ,
  • 84', Perez L. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Pardo F. ,
  • 90+1', Balanta J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
48%
Draw
30.1%
Alianza Valledupar
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.91)
    3.1
    (3.35)
    4.32
    (4)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Fortaleza CEIF will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
    • Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF 0:0
    08.09.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1
    28.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar 1:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )