Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (294/368) | 85% (324/383) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.55 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
80% (294/368) | 85% (324/383) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (29/60) | 62% (26/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (47/90) | 69% (57/83) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.41 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 71% (5/7) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
38 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 1.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.03 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Suarez K. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Ricaurte A. ⚽, Florez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Manjarres R. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 46', Torres E. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 57', Osorio J. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 58', Amaya A. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 58', Barrera J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Balanta J. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
- 69', Valencia S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 69', Florez K. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
- 76', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 77', Ricaurte A. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 84', Perez L. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Pardo F. ⚽,
- 90+1', Balanta J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF 48% | Draw 30.1% | Alianza Valledupar 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.91) |
3.1 ↓ (3.35) |
4.32 ↑ (4) |
6.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Alianza Valledupar?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
26.03.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
08.09.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
28.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )