Cúcuta Deportivo vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.411.57
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
322
Shots on target
26
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
26
Passes
76% (219/288)84% (348/415)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.411.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.06
Total shots
322
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
19
Blocked shots
07
Shots inside the box
312
Shots outside the box
010
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
944
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
96
Passes
76% (219/288)84% (348/415)
Long passes
42% (29/69)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
44% (20/45)76% (130/172)
Crosses
25% (2/8)25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.622.70
Throw ins
916
Fouls
69
Tackles
58% (7/12)86% (6/7)
Duels won
3027
Clearances
287
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.060.45
Goals prevented
0.06-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Hernandez L. , Berdugo L. (A),
  • 16', Rodriguez S. 🟥,
  • 39', Berdugo L. , Montano B. ,
  • 42', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sinisterra J. , Batioja A. ,
  • 46', Pernia M. , Cuero S. ,
  • 46', Ramiirez S. , Pulicastro F. ,
  • 49', Batioja A. 🟨,
  • 53', Batioja A. , Rivas Torres R. D. ,
  • 60', Hernandez L. , Castaneda F. ,
  • 60', Arizalas E. , Valencia J. ,
  • 66', Orozco S. , Tamara S. ,
  • 66', Peralta J. , Agudelo J. ,
  • 74', Montano B. 🟨,
  • 75', Navarro S. , Amaya A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Balanta J. , Amaya A. (A),

Chances of winning


Cúcuta Deportivo
40.6%
Draw
32.3%
Fortaleza CEIF
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 31.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 30.2% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cúcuta Deportivo's performance.
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza CEIF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza CEIF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.67)
    2.88
    (2.97)
    3.46
    (2.76)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    17.11.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Cúcuta Deportivo 2:0
    14.11.2023 Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0
    25.08.2023 Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0
    08.03.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Cúcuta Deportivo 1:1
    Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1143413:10315
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1025311:13-211
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )