Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (219/288) | 84% (348/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (219/288) | 84% (348/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 59% (26/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 76% (130/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Hernandez L. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),
- 16', Rodriguez S. 🟥,
- 39', Berdugo L. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 42', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sinisterra J. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
- 46', Pernia M. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 46', Ramiirez S. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
- 49', Batioja A. 🟨,
- 53', Batioja A. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
- 60', Hernandez L. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
- 60', Arizalas E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 66', Orozco S. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 66', Peralta J. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
- 74', Montano B. 🟨,
- 75', Navarro S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Balanta J. ⚽, Amaya A. (A),
Chances of winning
Cúcuta Deportivo
40.6% | Draw
32.3% | Fortaleza CEIF
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cúcuta Deportivo's performance.Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza CEIF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza CEIF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.67) |
2.88 ↓
(2.97) |
3.46 ↑
(2.76) |
6.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
17.11.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Cúcuta Deportivo
2:0
14.11.2023
Cúcuta Deportivo
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
25.08.2023
Cúcuta Deportivo
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
08.03.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Cúcuta Deportivo
1:1
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
