Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros SA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA
Result
1:0
17/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
1011
Passes
72% (209/292)75% (236/315)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.02
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
1011
Touches in opposition box
1820
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
119
Passes
72% (209/292)75% (236/315)
Long passes
27% (16/59)48% (34/71)
Passes in final third
57% (66/115)58% (49/85)
Crosses
29% (5/17)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.29
Fouls
911
Tackles
70% (7/10)100% (4/4)
Duels won
3824
Clearances Total
3131
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.021.27
Goals prevented
0.020.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Lasso J. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ricaurte A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Valencia C. , Hinojosa R. ,
  • 70', Aristizabal E. , Cordoba S. ,
  • 71', Medina M. , Churi B. ,
  • 71', Espinal F. , Mina Chara J. E. ,
  • 76', Martinez J. , Florez K. ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Florez K. , Pajaro R. (A),
  • 86', Montes G. , Reina H. ,
  • 88', Reina H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sierra C. , Lopez A. ,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
46.2%
Draw
29.9%
Llaneros SA
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 23.2% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.
  • Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros SA's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llaneros SA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.6)
    3.13
    (3.75)
    3.94
    (5.25)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1.
    • Fortaleza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA were as follows:
    03.09.2023 Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF 1:2
    04.06.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA 0:1
    24.05.2023 Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1
    20.03.2023 Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA 1:1
    07.11.2022 Llaneros SA - Fortaleza CEIF 0:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Latest results of Llaneros SA
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior33009:369
    2Fortaleza32104:227
    3Atl. Nacional32017:436
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Envigado31114:404
    8Pereira31114:404
    9Alianza31112:204
    10La Equidad31112:3-14
    11Dep. Pasto11003:213
    12Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    13Aguilas30212:3-12
    14Dep. Cali30211:3-22
    15Bucaramanga10101:101
    16America De Cali10100:001
    17Ind. Medellin30124:7-31
    18U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    19Millonarios10010:1-10
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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