Result
1:0
17/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/292) | 75% (236/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (209/292) | 75% (236/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 48% (34/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (66/115) | 58% (49/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ricaurte A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Valencia C. ↓, Hinojosa R. ↑,
- 70', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 71', Medina M. ↓, Churi B. ↑,
- 71', Espinal F. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
- 76', Martinez J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Florez K. ⚽, Pajaro R. (A),
- 86', Montes G. ↓, Reina H. ↑,
- 88', Reina H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sierra C. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
46.2% | Draw
29.9% | Llaneros SA
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros SA's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llaneros SA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.6) |
3.13 ↓
(3.75) |
3.94 ↓
(5.25) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Llaneros SA?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Llaneros SA has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA were as follows:
03.09.2023
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
04.06.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Llaneros SA
0:1
24.05.2023
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
20.03.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Llaneros SA
1:1
07.11.2022
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
