Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (364/431) | 69% (139/202) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (364/431) | 69% (139/202) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 28% (12/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (117/163) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Pertuz J. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Cortes C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Cajares J. 🟨,
- 40', Pertuz J. 🟨,
- 44', Cajares J. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 45+7', Wilke T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez J. ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
- 60', Medranda J. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 60', Caicedo K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 66', Cortes C. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
- 66', Velasquez J. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 66', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
- 72', Silva M. 🟨,
- 75', Kelvin Osorio (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Ramirez D. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
- 80', Navarro S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 85', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 85', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
- 87', Oliveros S. 🟥,
- 90+1', Sierra M. ↓, Benitez B. ↑,
- 90+2', Riascos L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Meza F. 🟨,
- 90+6', Mantilla D. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
49.7% | Draw
31.6% | Llaneros SA
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llaneros SA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.94) |
2.95 ↓
(3.35) |
5.01 ↑
(3.74) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llaneros SA: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Llaneros SA?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Llaneros SA has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA were as follows:
04.10.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
17.04.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Llaneros SA
1:0
03.09.2023
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
04.06.2023
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Llaneros SA
0:1
24.05.2023
Llaneros SA
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
