Cerro Porteño vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza
Result
2:1
16/03/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
36.2%
Draw
29.8%
Fortaleza
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 27.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.14)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    2.74
    (3.16)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerro Porteño is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Fortaleza - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ