Cerro Porteño vs Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza
Result
2:1
16/03/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
36.2%
Draw
29.8%
Fortaleza
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 27.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.14)
    3.11
    (3.33)
    2.74
    (3.16)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerro Porteño is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Fortaleza - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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