Nacional Potosí vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza
Result
4:1
08/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.720.71
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
2110
Shots on Goal
101
Shots off Goal
119
Free Kicks
711
Corner Kicks
83
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
1713
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Fouls
126
Yellow Cards
21
Attacks
10266
Dangerous Attacks
4234

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Callejo F. , Prost M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Lucero J. , Machuca I. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 1, Prost M. , Cristaldo G. (A),
  • 39', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ze Welison , Moises ,
  • 46', Emmanuel Martinez , Tinga ,
  • 60', Yago Pikachu , Pedro Rocha ,
  • 62', Pavia L. , Guerra S. ,
  • 62', Cristaldo G. , Alvarez W. ,
  • 66', Hoyos J. 🟨,
  • 67', Galindo S. , Azogue P. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Guerra S. ,
  • 71', Matheus Rossetto , Pochettino T. ,
  • 72', Guerra S. 🟨,
  • 73', Machuca I. , Andrade K. ,
  • 78', Hoyos J. , Andia J. ,
  • 78', Callejo F. , Torrico A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Alvarez W. , Prost M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Potosí
36.1%
Draw
27.9%
Fortaleza
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 26.5% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.1% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.24)
    3.34
    (3.51)
    2.59
    (2.93)
    7.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 51.2%84.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nacional Potosí has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional Potosí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Nacional Potosí have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Fortaleza to win the game is with odds 2.73.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Fortaleza - Nacional Potosí 5:0
    Latest results of Nacional Potosí
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    04.05.2024 Corinthians - Fortaleza 0:0
    01.05.2024 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:0
    25.04.2024 Fortaleza - Boca Juniors 4:2
    21.04.2024 Fortaleza - Altos 5:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2