Result
4:1
08/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 102 | 66 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 42 | 34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Prost M. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Lucero J. ⚽, Machuca I. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Prost M. ⚽, Cristaldo G. (A),
- 39', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ze Welison ↓, Moises ↑,
- 46', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 60', Yago Pikachu ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
- 62', Pavia L. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
- 62', Cristaldo G. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
- 66', Hoyos J. 🟨,
- 67', Galindo S. ↓, Azogue P. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Guerra S. ⚽,
- 71', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 72', Guerra S. 🟨,
- 73', Machuca I. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 78', Hoyos J. ↓, Andia J. ↑,
- 78', Callejo F. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Prost M. (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
36.1% | Draw
27.9% | Fortaleza
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.24) |
3.34 ↓
(3.51) |
2.59 ↓
(2.93) |
7.2%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 51.2% – 84.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional Potosí has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional Potosí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Nacional Potosí have a series of guest games.
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Our prediction for today's Fortaleza to win the game is with odds 2.73.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Fortaleza?
Nacional Potosí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Nacional Potosí?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza were as follows:
10.04.2024
Fortaleza
-
Nacional Potosí
5:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Fortaleza
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
