Result
 
                    4:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        08/05/2024 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
 
                                                - Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.71 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 56% | 44% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 21 | 10 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 10 | 1 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 11 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 13 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 6 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 6 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 102 | 66 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 42 | 34 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
 - 6', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Prost M. (A), 
 - 16', 1 - 1, Lucero J. ⚽, Machuca I. (A), 
 - 37', 2 - 1, Prost M. ⚽, Cristaldo G. (A), 
 - 39', Yago Pikachu 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 0)
 - 46', Ze Welison ↓, Moises ↑, 
 - 46', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Tinga ↑, 
 - 60', Yago Pikachu ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑, 
 - 62', Pavia L. ↓, Guerra S. ↑, 
 - 62', Cristaldo G. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑, 
 - 66', Hoyos J. 🟨, 
 - 67', Galindo S. ↓, Azogue P. ↑, 
 - 70', 3 - 1, Guerra S. ⚽, 
 - 71', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑, 
 - 72', Guerra S. 🟨, 
 - 73', Machuca I. ↓, Andrade K. ↑, 
 - 78', Hoyos J. ↓, Andia J. ↑, 
 - 78', Callejo F. ↓, Torrico A. ↑, 
 - 90+3', 4 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Prost M. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Nacional Potosí  36.1% | Draw  27.9% | Fortaleza  36.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.59 ↑ (2.24) | 
			   3.34 ↓ (3.51) | 
			   2.59 ↓ (2.93) | 
			   7.2% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            31 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 51.2% – 84.2%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Nacional Potosí has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Nacional Potosí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - Recently Nacional Potosí have a series of guest games. 
 - Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games. 
 - In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal. 
 - Our prediction for today's Fortaleza to win the game is with odds 2.73.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Fortaleza?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nacional Potosí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Nacional Potosí?
                    
                    
                        
                             Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza were as follows:
                                                        
                                10.04.2024 
                                Fortaleza 
                                - 
                                Nacional Potosí 
                                5:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nacional Potosí                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Fortaleza