Result
1:0
29/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/420) | 61% (134/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (337/420) | 61% (134/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (40/75) | 34% (22/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (65/115) | 41% (29/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
- 24', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Degregorio R. M. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 71', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 71', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 71', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 71', Marinho 🟨,
- 77', Pedro Augusto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 80', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
- 89', Lucca Prior 🟨,
- 90+1', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Di Cesare M. (A),
Chances of winning
Racing
53% | Draw
28.3% | Fortaleza
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Racing - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.86) |
3.32 ↓
(3.38) |
5.01 ↑
(4.37) |
6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Racing is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Racing: Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Salas M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zuculini B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Matheus Rossetto
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Almendra A. E.
(Inactive)
Solari S.
(Injury)
Zaracho M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Fortaleza?
Racing has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Racing?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Fortaleza were as follows:
01.04.2025
Fortaleza
-
Racing
0:3
Latest results of Fortaleza
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
