Result
1:0
29/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga+ app |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
80% (337/420) | 61% (134/221) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.11 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
80% (337/420) | 61% (134/221) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (40/75) | 34% (22/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (65/115) | 41% (29/71) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (9/27) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 0.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 1.11 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
- 24', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Degregorio R. M. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 71', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 71', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 71', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 71', Marinho 🟨,
- 77', Pedro Augusto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 80', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
- 89', Lucca Prior 🟨,
- 90+1', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Di Cesare M. (A),
Chances of winning
Racing 53% | Draw 28.3% | Fortaleza 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Racing - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.86) |
3.32 ↓ (3.38) |
5.01 ↑ (4.37) |
6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Racing is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Racing: Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Salas M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zuculini B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Matheus Rossetto
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Almendra A. E.
(Inactive)
Solari S.
(Injury)
Zaracho M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Fortaleza?
Racing has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Racing?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Fortaleza were as follows:
01.04.2025
Fortaleza
-
Racing
0:3
Latest results of Fortaleza
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)