Fortaleza vs Retrô Brasil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil
Result
1:2 penalties
21/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
126
Passes
79% (352/446)74% (227/307)
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
64
Corner Kicks
126
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
79% (352/446)74% (227/307)
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1113
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Fernandez P. 🟨,
  • 42', Mike 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Maycon Douglas , Junior Fialho ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes , Deyverson (A),
  • 61', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Mike , Eduardo (A),
  • 68', Mascote , Bruno Marques ,
  • 68', Eduardo , Gedeilson ,
  • 68', Mike , Diego Guerra ,
  • 72', Pochettino T. , Calebe ,
  • 73', Deyverson , Lucero J. ,
  • 73', Breno Lopes , Andrade K. ,
  • 78', Mendonca 🟨,
  • 82', Bruno Pacheco , Diogo Barbosa ,
  • 88', Ly I. , Franco R. ,
  • 88', Fernandez P. , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 90+3', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Bruno Marques (Pen),
  • 1, Lucero J. (Pen),
  • 2, Junior Fialho (Pen),
  • 2, Yago Pikachu (Pen),
  • 3, Radsley (Pen),
  • 3, Andrade K. (Pen),
  • 4, Franco R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
73.5%
Draw
18.1%
Retrô Brasil
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 21.7% 10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 20.5% 9.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.37)
    5.14
    (4.31)
    11.17
    (9.29)
    7.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza 1:1
    14.03.2024 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0
    10.05.2025 Fortaleza - Juventude 5:0
    06.05.2025 Fortaleza - Colo-Colo 4:0
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    04.05.2025 Floresta - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    29.04.2025 Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR
    3VascoBotafogo RJ
    4FluminenseBahia

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2