Vitória ES vs Forte Rio Bananal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
01/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
103
Shots on target
71
Corner kicks
41
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
103
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Joao Paulo ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, Gustavo Tonoli (Penalty Awarded),
  • 15', 3 - 0, Vini ,
  • 28', 4 - 0, Joao Paulo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Arcado , Bruno Alecrim ,
  • 46', Marcelinho Araxa , da Silva B. ,
  • 58', Allanzinho 🟨,
  • 60', Vini , Alexsandro ,
  • 60', Thiago Ramos , Canario ,
  • 60', Foguete , Caio Ferraz ,
  • 60', Abuda , Mailson ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Breno Mariano ,
  • 73', Gustavo Tonoli , Tony ,
  • 82', Rael (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', Allanzinho , Iago Nogueira ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitória ES
67.8%
Draw
21.5%
Forte Rio Bananal
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 22.5% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 21.5% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Forte Rio Bananal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forte Rio Bananal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Vitória ES - Forte Rio Bananal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.38)
    4.26
    (4.04)
    8.52
    (8.05)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Vitória ES is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Forte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Vitória ES is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Vitória ES will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória ES - Forte Rio Bananal were as follows:
    23.02.2026 Forte Rio Bananal - Vitória ES 1:1
    04.02.2026 Forte Rio Bananal - Vitória ES 0:0
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Latest results of Forte Rio Bananal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2