Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.240.30
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
22
Passes
78% (354/452)77% (294/383)
Expected goals (xG)
1.240.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.01
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1712
Passes
78% (354/452)77% (294/383)
Long passes
38% (27/72)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
67% (84/126)59% (60/101)
Crosses
32% (7/22)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.64
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
1217
Tackles
65% (15/23)33% (5/15)
Duels won
7857
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.010.85
Goals prevented
0.01-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Grodowski J. , Rochelt J. ,
  • 62', Rasmussen C. , Raimund L. ,
  • 74', Worl M. , Boakye B. ,
  • 81', El Azzouzi A. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 81', Iyoha E. , Zimmermann M. ,
  • 83', Felix J. , Mehlem M. ,
  • 83', Telalovic S. , Uldrikis R. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Itten C. , Muslija F. (A),
  • 89', Momuluh T. , Yasar E. ,
  • 90', Tanaka S. , Breithaupt T. ,
  • 90', Suso S. , Heyer M. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
38%
Draw
27.3%
Arminia Bielefeld
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 27.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 27.2% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.7)
    3.42
    (3.46)
    2.71
    (2.51)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 48.9%84.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Fortuna (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Fortuna (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Breithaupt T. (Muscle Injury) Daland J. (Yellow Cards) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Grodowski J. (Illness) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Ocansey V. A. F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf 5:1
    13.01.2024 Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2
    09.04.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2
    01.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld 4:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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