Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Result
1:3
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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peruPeruDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.89
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (412/503)74% (244/331)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.032.81
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
97
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
821
Passes
82% (412/503)74% (244/331)
Long passes
49% (26/53)50% (39/78)
Passes in final third
67% (114/171)62% (58/93)
Crosses
14% (3/21)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.13
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
218
Tackles
82% (9/11)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4260
Clearances
1615
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.811.03
Goals prevented
-0.190.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽,
  • 4', Gunter C. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 2, Grifo V. ⚽, Matanovic I. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 2, El Azzouzi A. ⚽, Schmidt K. (A),
  • 22', Itten C. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
  • 28', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Matanovic I. 🟨,
  • 53', Zimmermann M. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
  • 63', Matanovic I. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
  • 63', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
  • 78', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 78', Schmidt D. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
  • 79', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
  • 79', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
  • 88', Kubler L. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
  • 89', Muller F. 🟨,
  • 90', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.3%		Draw
25.7%		Freiburg
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 26.1% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 26% 43.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.09 ↑
(3.1)		 3.65 ↑
(3.6)		 1.82 ↓
(2.16)		 6.9%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.
    • Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    25.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    17.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:2 ✺
    03.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 2:3 ✺
    27.09.2025 Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Freiburg - Utrecht 2:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg 0:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Bologna - Freiburg 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    2Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    3RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    4WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    5CottbusHannover1 : 0
    6SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    7IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    8SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    9Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    10UlmElversberg0 : 1
    11LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    12RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    13SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    14LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    15LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    16Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    26RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    27Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    28GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    29DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    30MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    2FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    3CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    4IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    5Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    6Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    7DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    8DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    14PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    15B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    16St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    2RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    3Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    4FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    8B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
    2Hertha BerlinFreiburg
    3Holstein KielStuttgart
    4Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli
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