Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.32
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (268/319)88% (557/630)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.57
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
511
Passes
84% (268/319)88% (557/630)
Long passes
52% (23/44)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
65% (55/85)71% (77/109)
Crosses
25% (5/20)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.26
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
115
Tackles
47% (9/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3747
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.572.11
Goals prevented
0.570.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Rasmussen C. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Itten C. , Muslija F. (A),
  • 38', Egouli E. 🟨,
  • 44', Muslija F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 2 - 0, Muslija F. ,
  • 66', Ziereis P. , Olesen M. ,
  • 66', Consbruch J. , Srbeny D. ,
  • 70', Olesen M. 🟨,
  • 74', El Azzouzi A. , Heyer M. ,
  • 75', Rasmussen C. , Raimund L. ,
  • 75', Appelkamp S. , Lenz C. ,
  • 77', Dehm J. , Sillah O. ,
  • 85', Heyer M. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Futkeu N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Green J. , Reich L. ,
  • 86', Itter G. , Marita R. ,
  • 87', Daland J. , Schmidt K. ,
  • 89', Reich L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Muslija F. , Zimmermann M. ,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
52.3%
Draw
24.4%
Greuther Fürth
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 24.6% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 23.9% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.75)
    3.84
    (3.76)
    4.02
    (4.09)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 50%). Fürth (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Fürth (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Fürth (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fürth (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
    • Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fürth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fortuna could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Breithaupt T. (Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Oberdorf T. (Red Card) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Yellow Cards) Konig N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth 1:2
    27.09.2024 Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    20.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth 1:0
    12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0
    18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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