Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg
Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.37
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
85% (441/519)84% (362/432)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.292.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.253.53
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
3237
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
85% (441/519)84% (362/432)
Long passes
67% (44/66)26% (12/46)
Passes in final third
65% (90/139)71% (77/109)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.94
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1411
Tackles
70% (14/20)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
3.532.25
Goals prevented
0.530.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Lubach R. , Zoma M. A. (A),
  • 42', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Alexandropoulos S. , Schmidt D. ,
  • 61', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, El Azzouzi A. , Schmidt D. (A),
  • 67', Iyoha E. , Rasmussen C. ,
  • 70', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
  • 77', Zimmermann M. , Schmidt K. ,
  • 77', Demba P. , Biron M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Justvan J. (Pen),
  • 81', Breithaupt T. , Celar Z. ,
  • 81', Daland J. , de Wijs J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Rasmussen C. , El Azzouzi A. (A),
  • 84', Zoma M. A. , Knoche R. ,
  • 84', Justvan J. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Becker F. O. ,
  • 88', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Thioune D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
39%
Draw
26.1%
Nürnberg
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.2% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26.2% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nürnberg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nürnberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.02)
    3.62
    (3.4)
    2.7
    (3.4)
    6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 50%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
    • Fortuna is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nürnberg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Appelkamp S. (Muscle Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Danilo Soares (Thigh Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Iyoha E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Lochoshvili L. (Injury) Markhiev A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 3:3
    01.12.2024 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2
    03.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 3:1
    02.12.2023 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:5
    22.04.2023 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    28.09.2025 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    20.09.2025 Nürnberg - Bochum 2:1
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg971122:61622
    2Schalke970213:5821
    3Paderborn962115:8720
    4Darmstadt953114:6818
    5Kaiserslautern960318:11718
    6Hannover952215:13217
    7Karlsruher SC943213:12115
    8Hertha Berlin932411:10111
    9Holstein Kiel932410:9111
    10Preussen Munster932415:17-211
    11Arminia Bielefeld931517:16110
    12Braunschweig931511:17-610
    13Dusseldorf93159:17-810
    14Greuther Furth931515:24-910
    15Nurnberg92258:13-58
    16SG Dynamo Dresden914414:18-47
    17Bochum920711:17-66
    18Magdeburg91177:19-124

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