Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/519) | 84% (362/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 3.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/519) | 84% (362/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (44/66) | 26% (12/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (90/139) | 71% (77/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.53 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Markhiev A. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Lubach R. ⚽, Zoma M. A. (A),
- 42', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
- 61', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, El Azzouzi A. ⚽, Schmidt D. (A),
- 67', Iyoha E. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
- 70', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
- 77', Zimmermann M. ↓, Schmidt K. ↑,
- 77', Demba P. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Justvan J. (Pen),
- 81', Breithaupt T. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
- 81', Daland J. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Rasmussen C. ⚽, El Azzouzi A. (A),
- 84', Zoma M. A. ↓, Knoche R. ↑,
- 84', Justvan J. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Becker F. O. ⚽,
- 88', Becker F. O. 🟨,
- 90+11', Thioune D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Düsseldorf
39% | Draw
26.1% | Nürnberg
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nürnberg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nürnberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.02) |
3.62 ↑
(3.4) |
2.7 ↓
(3.4) |
6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 50%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
- Fortuna is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nürnberg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H.
(Injury)
Appelkamp S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lenz C.
(Muscle Injury)
Raimund L.
(Injury)
Rossmann T.
(Illness)
Schock F.
(Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T.
(Foot Injury)
Danilo Soares
(Thigh Injury)
Koudossou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Maboulou N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna: Iyoha E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nürnberg: Lochoshvili L.
(Injury)
Markhiev A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Nürnberg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Nürnberg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg were as follows:
26.04.2025
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Nürnberg
3:3
01.12.2024
Nürnberg
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2:2
03.05.2024
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Nürnberg
3:1
02.12.2023
Nürnberg
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0:5
22.04.2023
Nürnberg
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2:0
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
Latest results of Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Schalke | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Nurnberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
