Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.642.45
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
27
Big chances
17
Corner kicks
35
Passes
83% (379/455)80% (333/414)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.642.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.642.73
Total shots
917
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
313
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
17
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
910
Passes
83% (379/455)80% (333/414)
Long passes
57% (26/46)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
67% (62/93)68% (70/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.83
Throw ins
1517
Fouls
109
Tackles
47% (7/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4041
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
2.730.64
Goals prevented
1.730.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Gruber F. , Mkrtchyan S. ,
  • 45', Egouli E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Appelkamp S. ,
  • 54', Maboulou N. , Lubach R. ,
  • 54', Grimaldi A. , Scobel P. ,
  • 67', Lenz C. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 71', von der Hitz J. , Koudossou H. ,
  • 71', Becker F. O. , Nzingoula R. ,
  • 77', Muslija F. 🟨,
  • 84', Appelkamp S. , Zimmermann M. ,
  • 84', Iyoha E. , Alexandropoulos S. ,
  • 84', El Azzouzi A. , Daland J. ,
  • 88', Itten C. , Paulina J. ,
  • 90+4', Nzingoula R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
40.2%
Draw
26.8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.5% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 26.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.27)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    2.86
    (2.85)
    6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fortuna will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fortuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Becker F. O. (Yellow Cards) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Breithaupt T. (Hip Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schmidt K. (Knee Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) de Wijs J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Lenz C. (Inactive) Lunddal V. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 2:3
    26.04.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 3:3
    01.12.2024 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2
    03.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 3:1
    02.12.2023 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:5
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    01.03.2026 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 2:1
    20.02.2026 Bochum - Nürnberg 1:1
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1
    07.02.2026 Paderborn - Nürnberg 2:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga