Result
2:3 penalties
30/01/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: DFB POKAL - QUARTER-FINALS
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Belgium | Eleven Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports 6 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
56.5% | Draw
24.1% | Fortuna Düsseldorf
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.81) |
3.92 ↑
(3.88) |
4.9 ↑
(4) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Users Predictions:
St. Pauli will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Fortuna have a series of guest games.
- In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Banks S.
(Knee Injury)
Zoller S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna: Sobottka M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S.
(Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against St. Pauli?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
27.01.2024
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
St. Pauli
1:2
05.08.2023
St. Pauli
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0:0
13.05.2023
St. Pauli
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0:0
05.11.2022
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
St. Pauli
1:0
Latest results of St. Pauli
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 8 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 10 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 15 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 16 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
| 19 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 21 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 22 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 25 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 26 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 27 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 28 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | |
| 2 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | |
| 3 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | |
| 4 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | |
| 5 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | |
| 7 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | |
| 9 | Darmstadt | Schalke | |
| 10 | Augsburg | Bochum | |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | |
| 12 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | |
| 13 | Mainz | Stuttgart | |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | |
| 15 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | |
| 16 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | |
