St. Pauli vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Result
2:3 penalties
30/01/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB POKAL - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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brazilBrazilESPN 2
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germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
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Chances of winning


St. Pauli
56.5%
Draw
24.1%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 24.3% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 23.8% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.81)
    3.92
    (3.88)
    4.9
    (4)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Recently Fortuna have a series of guest games.
    • In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Banks S. (Knee Injury) Zoller S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Sobottka M. (Muscle Injury) Zimmermann M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli 1:2
    05.08.2023 St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:0
    13.05.2023 St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:0
    05.11.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf - St. Pauli 1:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    20.01.2024 St. Pauli - Kaiserslautern 2:0
    07.01.2024 Excelsior - St. Pauli Canceled
    09.12.2023 Osnabrück - St. Pauli 1:1
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    2FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    3MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    4RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    5Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    6BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    7WehenBayern Munich
    8SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    11PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    12Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    13Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    14SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    15HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17BraunschweigStuttgart
    18UlmElversberg0 : 1
    19GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    20NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    21SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    22Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    23EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    24IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    25RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    26CottbusHannover1 : 0
    27LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    28BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    29HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    30LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    31SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    32LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2