Result
1:3
06/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/286) | 85% (470/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/286) | 85% (470/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/112) | 81% (153/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Sierhuis K. ⚽,
- 22', Bounida R. 🟨,
- 28', Weghorst W. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 30', Pinto I. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, van Ottele S. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Fosso R. (Own goal),
- 49', Baas Y. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 3, Wijndal O. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
- 53', Hubner J. 🟥,
- 55', Sierhuis K. 🟨,
- 60', Baas Y. 🟨,
- 64', van Ottele S. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 71', Ihattaren M. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
- 71', Sierhuis K. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 73', Wijndal O. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
- 73', Bounida R. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 78', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 80', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 80', Regeer Y. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 84', Pinto I. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
- 86', Jaros V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
26.3% | Draw
26.4% | Ajax
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fortuna Sittard - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↓
(4.7) |
3.58 ↓
(4.08) |
2 ↑
(1.65) |
5.6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 30.8% – 66%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.
- In recent matches, Fortuna Sittard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ajax has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
- Ajax will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Mokio J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 7:44. (average 0.5:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Ajax?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Fortuna Sittard?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Ajax were as follows:
09.02.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Ajax
0:2
18.09.2024
Ajax
-
Fortuna Sittard
5:0
10.03.2024
Ajax
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:2
03.09.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Ajax
0:0
09.04.2023
Ajax
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:0
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 41:27 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Groningen | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20:36 | -16 | 19 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Sittard | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
