Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 33
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
79% (319/403) | 78% (286/366) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 1.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.89 | 0.89 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (319/403) | 78% (286/366) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (47/82) | 43% (23/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (101/152) | 58% (49/85) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 41% (7/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (20/25) | 55% (12/22) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.89 | 0.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.11 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kadile J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Haye T. 🟨,
- 59', Bullaude E. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 59', Dijks M. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 60', Rosier L. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 64', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
- 66', Guth R. 🟨,
- 67', Mitrovic J. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
- 75', Martins M. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
- 75', Kadile J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Radulovic B. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
- 85', Jasim A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 85', Robinet T. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 86', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City 50.7% | Draw 25.7% | Fortuna Sittard 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Almere City - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (1.91) |
3.69 ↑ (3.62) |
3.99 ↑ (3.88) |
5% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Almere City - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 0.
- Almere City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Fortuna Sittard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almere City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H.
(Injury)
Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M.
(Injury)
Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Nalic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S.
(Injury)
Peterson K.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Fortuna Sittard?
Almere City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Almere City?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
16.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Almere City
3:0
24.01.2024
Almere City
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
17.01.2024
Almere City
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:2
19.08.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Almere City
2:1
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie