Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 33
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/403) | 78% (286/366) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/403) | 78% (286/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (47/82) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (101/152) | 58% (49/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kadile J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Haye T. 🟨,
- 59', Bullaude E. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 59', Dijks M. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 60', Rosier L. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 64', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
- 66', Guth R. 🟨,
- 67', Mitrovic J. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
- 75', Martins M. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
- 75', Kadile J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Radulovic B. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
- 85', Jasim A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 85', Robinet T. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 86', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City
50.7% | Draw
25.7% | Fortuna Sittard
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Almere City - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.91) |
3.69 ↑
(3.62) |
3.99 ↑
(3.88) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Almere City - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 0.
- Almere City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Fortuna Sittard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Almere City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H.
(Injury)
Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M.
(Injury)
Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Nalic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S.
(Injury)
Peterson K.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Fortuna Sittard?
Almere City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Almere City?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
16.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Almere City
3:0
24.01.2024
Almere City
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
17.01.2024
Almere City
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:2
19.08.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Almere City
2:1
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Groningen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Telstar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
