Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard
Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.07
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (316/416)76% (308/407)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.37
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
76% (316/416)76% (308/407)
Long passes
46% (33/72)25% (17/67)
Passes in final third
60% (57/95)58% (66/114)
Crosses
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.75
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
1018
Tackles
65% (11/17)33% (6/18)
Duels won
6055
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.371.09
Goals prevented
1.370.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, de Regt G. , Yegoian I. (A),
  • 38', Branderhorst M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Peterson K. , Ihattaren M. ,
  • 46', Sierhuis K. , Aiko M. ,
  • 55', Mitrovic S. , Sanches Fernandes D. ,
  • 67', Pinto I. , Gladon P. ,
  • 71', Fosso R. 🟨,
  • 71', Wlodarczyk S. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 73', Fosso R. , Mendes H. ,
  • 80', Dahlhaus J. , Hubner J. ,
  • 81', Nadje C. , Schouten L. ,
  • 81', Yegoian I. , Middendorp S. ,
  • 90+1', Aiko M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excelsior
51.3%
Draw
26.1%
Fortuna Sittard
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 26.1% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.29)
    3.82
    (3.65)
    4.46
    (2.94)
    1.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9%73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Excelsior might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Heart Problems) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury) van Ottele S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Schouten L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S. (Illness) Ihattaren M. (Inactive) Michut E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior 5:2
    26.08.2023 Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard 2:2
    21.05.2023 Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard 3:0
    17.09.2022 Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior 1:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    04.10.2025 Heerenveen - Excelsior 2:1
    27.09.2025 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:2
    20.09.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord981025:61925
    2PSV971127:121522
    3Ajax1054120:14619
    4AZ Alkmaar953119:12718
    5Groningen1060416:14218
    6Sparta Rotterdam1051414:22-816
    7Nijmegen1043327:19815
    8Twente1042419:17214
    9Utrecht941418:11713
    10Heerenveen1034318:18013
    11Sittard1041514:15-113
    12G.A. Eagles924315:16-110
    13FC Volendam1024413:16-310
    14Excelsior93068:17-99
    15NAC Breda1023513:19-69
    16Zwolle1023511:19-89
    17Telstar1021712:19-77
    18Heracles101097:30-233

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie