Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - Volendam
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.77
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (327/411)80% (297/371)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.03
Total shots
168
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
80% (327/411)80% (297/371)
Long passes
36% (17/47)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
62% (84/136)65% (60/93)
Crosses
23% (5/22)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.99
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1413
Tackles
50% (12/24)54% (13/24)
Duels won
6353
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.031.04
Goals prevented
0.030.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Lonwijk J. , Limnios D. (A),
  • 14', Adewoye S. , Hubner J. ,
  • 40', Verschuren N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Yah G. , Kokcu O. ,
  • 62', Ugwu P. , Payne D. ,
  • 62', Ideho J. , Oehlers A. ,
  • 62', Sierhuis K. , Gladon P. ,
  • 63', Peterson K. , Aiko M. ,
  • 74', van Cruijsen R. , Muhren R. ,
  • 74', Verschuren N. , Mbuyamba X. ,
  • 79', Brittijn P. 🟨,
  • 81', Lonwijk J. , Tunjic L. ,
  • 81', Pinto I. , Mendes H. ,
  • 90+3', Kuwas B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
51.3%
Draw
24.4%
Volendam
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 24.5% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 24.2% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Fortuna Sittard - Volendam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.8)
    3.91
    (3.85)
    3.94
    (4.05)
    4.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Volendam?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Volendam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fortuna Sittard is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Volendam: Descotte A. (Ankle Injury) Esajas S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Volendam were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Volendam - Fortuna Sittard 0:1
    16.09.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Volendam 3:1
    17.03.2023 Volendam - Fortuna Sittard 2:1
    02.10.2022 Fortuna Sittard - Volendam 2:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of Volendam
    27.09.2025 Volendam - Zwolle 2:1
    20.09.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:2
    13.09.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam 3:0
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    23.08.2025 Telstar - Volendam 2:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord871018:61222
    2PSV861125:111419
    3Ajax844017:10716
    4AZ Alkmaar843117:12515
    5Groningen850314:11315
    6Nijmegen841322:14813
    7Twente841314:11313
    8Sittard841313:12113
    9Utrecht831415:10510
    10G.A. Eagles824214:14010
    11Sparta Rotterdam831411:22-1110
    12Heerenveen823312:13-19
    13FC Volendam81439:13-47
    14Telstar821510:15-57
    15NAC Breda82158:14-67
    16Zwolle82157:15-87
    17Excelsior82067:17-106
    18Heracles81077:20-133

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