AV Alta vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
06/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.592.26
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
87% (461/529)82% (271/330)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.592.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.91
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
87% (461/529)82% (271/330)
Long passes
46% (27/59)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)69% (71/103)
Crosses
18% (3/17)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.29
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1913
Tackles
73% (8/11)93% (14/15)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
2625
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.911.56
Goals prevented
-1.09-1.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 2', 1 - 0, Blancas E. ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. (Pen),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Pajaro M. , Blancas E. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 2, Angking I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 3, Angking I. , Mesias A. (A),
  • 56', Aoumaich A. , Martinez W. ,
  • 56', Lay O. , Villalobos J. ,
  • 60', 3 - 3, Blancas E. (Pen),
  • 60', Alaribe E. , Cerritos A. ,
  • 63', Martinez W. 🟨,
  • 66', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 67', Angking I. , Boyce D. ,
  • 67', Garcia C. , Brown N. ,
  • 67', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 78', Mesias A. , Bartman N. ,
  • 81', Ramos S. , Robledo H. ,
  • 88', Boyce D. 🟨,
  • 90', Gebhard D. , Sousa F. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


AV Alta
42%
Draw
27.6%
Forward Madison
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 27.4% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 26.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • AV Alta - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.35)
    3.49
    (3.29)
    3.17
    (2.63)
    4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AV Alta - Forward Madison?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Alta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Forward Madison's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Alta has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AV Alta - Forward Madison were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Forward Madison - AV Alta 0:0
    Latest results of AV Alta
    23.08.2025 Union Omaha - AV Alta 2:0
    20.08.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 3:3
    09.08.2025 Spokane Velocity - AV Alta 2:0
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)