Result
2:1
11/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (317/397) | 77% (244/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (317/397) | 77% (244/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 67% (80/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Lelin Y. 🟨,
- 38', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 62', Boyce D. 🟨,
- 67', Hernandez P. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
- 67', Acosta M. ↓, Jnohope T. ↑,
- 75', Hernandez O. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Gebhard D. ⚽, Mesias A. (A),
- 81', Gebhard D. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 81', Mesias A. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
- 83', Ualefi ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
- 83', Kinzner E. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Galindrez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
43% | Draw
29.4% | Chattanooga Red Wolves
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.88) |
3.14 ↓
(3.3) |
3.35 ↓
(3.65) |
8.4%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
- Forward Madison is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Chattanooga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
- Forward Madison will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Forward Madison has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Forward Madison?
Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves were as follows:
06.08.2025
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
2:1
31.05.2025
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
2:1
12.10.2024
Forward Madison
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
07.09.2024
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
1:3
10.08.2024
Forward Madison
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Forward Madison | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Union Omaha | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Boise | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | AV Alta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Charlotte Independ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Richmond Kickers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Fort Wayne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Greenville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
