Result
2:1
06/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (130/206) | 88% (505/573) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (130/206) | 88% (505/573) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 55% (37/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (55/100) | 75% (102/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Boyce D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Watters D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Green O. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Hernandez O. ⚽, Bentley M. (A),
- 61', Angking I. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
- 61', Galindrez J. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
- 62', Boyce D. ↓, Gebhard D. ↑,
- 65', Jackson K. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 65', Mercer G. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
- 67', Viader D. 🟨,
- 73', Bentley M. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. ⚽,
- 90', Wessels W. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chattanooga Red Wolves
36.6% | Draw
29.2% | Forward Madison
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.34) |
3.17 ↓
(3.7) |
2.7 ↑
(2.65) |
8.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 1.
- Chattanooga has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Forward Madison?
Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Forward Madison has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison were as follows:
31.05.2025
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
2:1
12.10.2024
Forward Madison
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
07.09.2024
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
1:3
10.08.2024
Forward Madison
-
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
08.06.2024
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-
Forward Madison
0:1
Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 30:19 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | FC Naples | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 4 | Charlotte Independ | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35:30 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | AV Alta | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Greenville | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 28:29 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Texoma | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:31 | -7 | 21 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Union Omaha | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | Forward Madison | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Richmond Kickers | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Tormenta | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 29:39 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
