Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One
Result
5:1
25/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.60
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (268/344)79% (318/401)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.831.47
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2937
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
515
Passes
78% (268/344)79% (318/401)
Long passes
44% (27/62)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
73% (75/103)73% (94/129)
Crosses
36% (4/11)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.39
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
155
Tackles
58% (7/12)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3038
Clearances
4313
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.473.83
Goals prevented
0.47-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Mesias A. (A),
  • 33', Sneddon J. ↓, Jara P. ↑,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Seufert N. ⚽, Fitch S. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Terzaghi E. ⚽, Billhardt A. (A),
  • 45+3', 3 - 1, Lage M. ⚽, Billhardt A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Murphy J. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
  • 51', Gebhard D. (Pen),
  • 55', Barnathan D. 🟨,
  • 56', Boyce D. 🟨,
  • 64', 4 - 1, Billhardt A. ⚽,
  • 65', Boyce D. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
  • 66', Crull J. 🟨,
  • 67', Seufert N. 🟨,
  • 71', 5 - 1, Seufert N. ⚽, Fitch S. (A),
  • 72', Billhardt A. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
  • 72', Barnathan D. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
  • 73', Lucca Dourado ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
  • 79', Sousa F. 🟨,
  • 86', Vaughan J. 🟨,
  • 87', Terzaghi E. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Richmond Kickers
32.7%		Draw
26.8%		Forward Madison
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.8% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.6% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richmond Kickers's form might have worsened.
  • Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward Madison's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forward Madison, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.81 ↑
    (2.22)    		 3.42 ↑
    (3.26)    		 2.26 ↓
    (2.89)    		 9.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1.
    • Richmond Kickers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Forward Madison may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers 1:0
    29.03.2025 Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison 1:2
    03.07.2024 Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison 2:1
    13.04.2024 Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers 2:2
    14.09.2023 Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers 2:0
    Latest results of Richmond Kickers
    17.10.2025 AV Alta - Richmond Kickers 2:0
    11.10.2025 Texoma - Richmond Kickers 1:0
    04.10.2025 Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville 2:1
    27.09.2025 South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers 4:2
    20.09.2025 Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence 2:3
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    18.10.2025 Union Omaha - Forward Madison 4:0
    11.10.2025 Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:1
    04.10.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison 1:3
    28.09.2025 Westchester SC - Forward Madison 0:1
    20.09.2025 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 3:0
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

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