Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/483) | 78% (260/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (412/483) | 78% (260/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (110/141) | 57% (39/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barnathan D. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
- 50', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 60', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 63', Kirkland J. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
- 78', Lucca Dourado ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 80', Cela K. ↓, Guilherme Diniz ↑,
- 80', Howell B. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
- 80', Terzaghi E. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
- 88', Murphy J. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Sousa F. ⚽,
- 90+4', Sousa F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
48.1% | Draw
27% | Richmond Kickers
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.37 ↓
(3.48) |
3.67 ↓
(3.8) |
9.6%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Forward Madison may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Forward Madison is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Richmond Kickers?
Forward Madison has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Richmond Kickers won against Forward Madison?
Richmond Kickers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers were as follows:
29.03.2025
Richmond Kickers
-
Forward Madison
1:2
03.07.2024
Richmond Kickers
-
Forward Madison
2:1
13.04.2024
Forward Madison
-
Richmond Kickers
2:2
14.09.2023
Forward Madison
-
Richmond Kickers
2:0
05.08.2023
Richmond Kickers
-
Forward Madison
1:2
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Richmond Kickers
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | AV Alta | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Greenville | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Texoma | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38:55 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
