South Georgia Tormenta vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.42
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
81% (246/305)86% (387/452)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.68
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
81% (246/305)86% (387/452)
Long passes
44% (21/48)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
61% (51/84)76% (106/140)
Crosses
22% (2/9)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.87
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1611
Tackles
63% (5/8)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
3619
Interceptions
101
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.682.34
Goals prevented
0.68-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', Boyce D. (Pen),
  • 17', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
  • 30', Tunbridge M. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. , Vivas S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Boyce D. 🟨,
  • 57', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 63', Bartman N. , Mesias A. ,
  • 63', Boyce D. , Angking I. ,
  • 63', McLaughlin G. , Boltz D. ,
  • 64', Tunbridge M. , Bazini Y. ,
  • 68', Temitayo E. 🟨,
  • 71', Reid-Stephen N. , Bwana H. ,
  • 71', Vivas S. , Nyandjo J. ,
  • 71', Sousa F. , Garcia C. ,
  • 71', Temitayo E. , Viader D. ,
  • 81', Gray T. , Walker A. ,
  • 81', Doyle C. , Drey A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Bwana H. , Bazini Y. (A),
  • 84', Reid-Stephen N. 🟨,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Rasheed M. , Nyandjo J. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Georgia Tormenta
38.1%
Draw
27.9%
Forward Madison
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 27.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 26.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.7)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    2.71
    (2.43)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tormenta has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison were as follows:
    23.07.2025 Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta 1:0
    15.06.2024 Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta 0:0
    16.03.2024 South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison 1:1
    19.08.2023 South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison 4:2
    26.07.2023 Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta 1:4
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)