Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
18/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jia League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
73% (258/353)73% (256/351)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.88
Total shots
914
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
2519
Passes
73% (258/353)73% (256/351)
Long passes
40% (22/55)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
61% (46/76)58% (63/108)
Crosses
28% (5/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.74
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1925
Tackles
83% (15/18)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
0.881.21
Goals prevented
-0.12-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Brown F. , Jin Taiyan (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Antwi R. , Albarracin N. (A),
  • 37', Zhong Ziqin 🟨,
  • 40', Shi Liang 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hu Ziqian 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', Li R. , Li Shibin ,
  • 56', Jin Taiyan , Ukachukwu P. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Huang Zhenfei ,
  • 67', Piao Shihao , Han Guangmin ,
  • 68', Liu Xinyu , Wu Yuchen ,
  • 68', Zhong Ziqin , Zheng Junwei ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Brown F. , Domingos J. (A),
  • 77', Yao-hsing Yu , Huang Chuqi ,
  • 78', Kun L. 🟨,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Brown F. , Li Qiang (A),
  • 90+4', Antwi R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Yanbian Longding
59.6%
Draw
24.6%
Foshan Nanshi
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.8% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 26.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanbian Longding's performance.
  • Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.65)
    3.84
    (3.35)
    5.99
    (4.75)
    5.6%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Foshan Nanshi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Yanbian Longding is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Foshan Nanshi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Yanbian Longding is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding 2:2
    03.11.2024 Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi 0:1
    30.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding 2:0
    Latest results of Yanbian Longding
    Latest results of Foshan Nanshi
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Yanbian Longding11003:033
    2Wuxi Wugou11002:023
    3Guangdong GZ-Power11002:023
    4Dingnan Ganlian11002:113
    5Nantong Zhiyun11002:113
    6Nanjing City11002:113
    7Dalian K'un City11002:113
    8Shenzhen Juniors11001:013
    9Shijiazhuang Gongfu10011:2-10
    10Guangxi Hengchen10011:2-10
    11Shaanxi Union10010:1-10
    12Foshan Nanshi10010:2-20
    13Suzhou Dongwu10011:2-1-3
    14Ningbo Professional10010:2-2-3
    15Meizhou Hakka10010:3-3-3
    16Changchun Yatai10011:2-1-4

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