L Aquila vs Fossombrone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Corigliano F. ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Sparacello C. ,
  • 45', 3 - 0, Di Renzo L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


L Aquila
52.5%
Draw
26.8%
Fossombrone
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 25.9% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 25.2% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • L Aquila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • L Aquila - Fossombrone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.69)
    3.41
    (3.55)
    4.4
    (4.64)
    9.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, L Aquila is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, L Aquila won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, L Aquila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between L Aquila - Fossombrone were as follows:
    24.03.2024 L Aquila - Fossombrone 2:0
    12.11.2023 Fossombrone - L Aquila 0:0
    Latest results of L Aquila
    09.11.2025 Teramo - L Aquila 5:2
    26.10.2025 Sora - L Aquila 4:1
    19.10.2025 L Aquila - Giulianova 1:0
    12.10.2025 Maceratese - L Aquila 2:1
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    09.11.2025 Fossombrone - Termoli 1:0
    02.11.2025 Sammaurese - Fossombrone 0:1
    26.10.2025 Fossombrone - Notaresco 0:1
    19.10.2025 Ostia Mare - Fossombrone 3:1
    12.10.2025 Fossombrone - Teramo 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation