Result
2:0
02/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 30
Chances of winning
San Marino Calcio
25.2% | Draw
26.1% | Fossombrone
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marino Calcio's form might have worsened.Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fossombrone's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marino Calcio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fossombrone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marino Calcio - Fossombrone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(2.42) |
3.5 ↑
(3.23) |
1.88 ↓
(2.64) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Marino Calcio - Fossombrone?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Marino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fossombrone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- San Marino has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fossombrone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marino Calcio won against Fossombrone?
San Marino Calcio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against San Marino Calcio?
Fossombrone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marino Calcio - Fossombrone were as follows:
23.11.2025
Fossombrone
-
San Marino Calcio
2:0
Latest results of San Marino Calcio
Latest results of Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
